The US Stock Market Today… Correcting or Crashing?

Price matters most.

So… what is the S&P 500 price chart telling us? In other words, what is it seeing in the coming six to twelve months?

I had a bunch of questions for the S&P500 that I wanted to get answered. So I pulled up a price chart of the S&P500 with dividends reinvested and I asked it (her?) the following. After all, who better to ask then the market itself.

  1. Are you strengthening?
  2. Or are you weakening?
  3. What would you need to do so I knew you were getting more bullish?
  4. What would you need to do so I knew you were getting more bearish?

The good news is, she told me exactly what to watch for.

Then my attention went to other asset classes… specifically I wanted to know what gold, bonds and US dollars were telling us about the markets.

Is The Stock Market Going To Crash?

If you look below. You see an image.

I was typing in, “is the stock market going…” and then Google started auto finishing what it thought I wanted to ask.

And at the top of its list was, “is the stock market going to crash,” which was then followed by “is the stock market going to go back up.” And then we had “crash soon,” “recover” and “keep going down.”

These auto finishes kind of shocked me. They shouldn’t have but they did.

Now, I’m not sure what the auto finishes would have been in the middle of 2017? But today, it’s clear that by tens of thousands, people are worried.

The answers to these questions matter as we want the weight of evidence on our side to either take [more] money out of the market or put more in.

Now here’s the thing. Your Strategy Should Work In Bull or Bear Markets.

And following a strategy that can work in “good or bad” times is one of the things I talked about in the video.

Regardless of what the market is doing, an investor must have a strategy that can easily adapt to a coming bear market or a return to a bull market.

One strategy…

…That can work in up or down markets. What will make this strategy work well is having it step out of the market based on the weight of evidence. And stay or step back into the market based on the weight of evidence.

Investor’s want a strategy that is always ready to move a part of it in or out.. Without being fully right or wrong.

Here’s my “interview” with the S&P500.

The bottom line.

The better your filter.

One that can filter out noise, stories, hype, B.S. and fear the better you will sleep at night. And the more likely you will never run out of money.

Because ultimately, what people want most is to know they will have enough.

In Your Corner,

RCPeck-Dig Signature.JPG

RC Peck, CFP

P.S. There’s a better way. In a world defined by hype, overwhelm and confusion — I will work very hard to put clarity and a powerfully simple approach first. The next step is an easy and insightful conversation.

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